07 July, 2011

Greener Pastures?


Building a community for low-income households is probably the ultimate project for those who come from the provider paradigm (see Housing Paradigms). Architects, planners, community-developers, water and sanitation specialists and community groups of almost every kind join hands to bring people together for form a new community. Donors are fond of such projects and the visible, dramatic results.  As housing microfinance evolves in Africa, these greenfield projects seem to be identified with the practice. They remain a highly popular approach to low cost housing, but do they form the basis for a viable housing finance product that targets low income households?

I started my journey into housing at a greenfield project in Gemena, Zaire (now Democratic Republic of Congo) in 1989. Since then I have been involved in managing well over 30 such projects in Congo, Ghana, Malawi, Tanzania and Uganda. I “inherited” most of these projects after they started, but I did the project design (and house design) for a few of them as well. There were some recurring issues that appeared regardless of the country in which they were implemented, the land tenure system involved or whether it was in an urban, peri-urban or rural setting. Colleagues who have worked on similar projects have experienced similar results.

1. Land Issues: From acquisition to surveying, removing squatters, negotiating plot sizes and getting title, land is expensive and time consuming. Identifying and recovering the real costs can be a challenge. The difference between the purchase cost and the true value-added cost can be substantial.

2. House Design: Typical projects have a few standard house designs. Even if these are designed with input from “the community,” the designs often do not meet the needs or expectations of the intended owners as individuals.

3. House Cost: Providing a complete house and land for a low income household results in a challenge bridging the gap between real cost and repayment capacity. This frequently leads to either subsidisation or extending the loan term.  When the implementer owns the land and house, it can quickly turn into asset based lending rather than capacity based lending and eventually test the will of the implementer to evictand or live with high portfolio at risk.

4. Livelihoods: The sites of greenfield projects are typically  distant from the intended dwellers' livelihoods and social capital. This can present challenges to the households as well as the project outcomes.

5. Occupancy: One outcome of low income households participating in greenfield projects far from their livelihood sources is that they often do not to occupy the houses. One would wonder why someone would rather live in a house of lesser quality than the beautiful house that has been built in a better community, but economically it often makes perfect sense. Houses are rented or sold without the owners ever occupying them. The true value of a house is in what it does for the dweller, not what it is in terms of a physical structure (Turner's Second Law of Housing - see Turner's Three Laws of Housing).

6. The Effect of Rising Costs: When the project is in an inflationary environment, the cost of the initial houses (and often the house cost quoted clients at the beginning of the project) is lower than the cost of the same house design in later stages of the project. No matter how you explain the effects of inflation or the value of the house in real terms, clients still seem to get annoyed when their houses cost more than their neighbour’s exact same house which was completed earlier.

7. Community Participation: Mutual help schemes frequently look better on paper than they do in reality, especially after the first month of the project.

8. Procurement and Inventory: Procuring, storing and distributing inventory is complicated, generates a lot of transactions for the finance department and leaves many avenues for fraud and corruption. To prevent corruption requires extensive internal controls, which are expensive and time consuming.

9. Construction Management: The implementer must manage builders, contractors, and dwellers through a construction process. This can be complicated and imply responsibility for construction outcomes.

10. Turner’s Third Law: Any shortcoming or imperfection in your house is infinitely more tolerable if you are responsible than if someone else was. What happens when there are construction related problems with a house. In my experience, dwellers tend to hold the implementer responsible for much longer than the implementer believes it is responsible.

11. The Donor: If the project used donor funds, donors like to visit the project and even brand the community with their logos. When dwellers understand that houses were built with donated funds, motivation to repay ldrops.

12. Time Factor: A 2,000 house project sounds very exciting. If it takes 5 years to complete, that is about 400 clients per year. It would not be unusual for a 2,000 house project to take more than 5 years from inception and approval to completion. What are the opportunity costs compared to what could be accomplished with the same time and resources using other housing models?

Those are just a few concerns from my experience with such projects. The management time, hassle, hidden costs, sometimes dubious housing outcomes and repayment challenges from any form of client dissatisfaction make the model risky as a financial product. If it is a donor funded project that desires to have some kind of cost recovery component without the necessity of  becoming financially viable, greenfield projects can be very impressive. As a sustainable housing finance product for low income households, I am still highly skeptical. Lender beware: The hype is great, but so are the risk and opportunity costs involved.

2 comments:

  1. Dear Scott,

    Thank you for a very interesting take on greenfield sites. I am currently undertaking a PhD which is involved with these issues and would like to pick your brain with regard to your experience with such projects.

    Kind Regards,

    Patricia

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Patricia,

      First of all, please accept my sincere apologies. I haven't been on my blog for some time and missed your comment.

      When studying this type of project,it is sometimes hard to get through the "hype" and down to the real business side of the housing finance intervention. Some key questions would be:


      1. Scale: How long has it taken to complete to project, starting from the search for land? How many households were served in that time? Is the method scalable?

      2. Financial Viability: What were the total costs of the project, starting from the search for land? Are the costs being recovered through the financial product associated with the houses?

      3. Portfolio Performance: What is the Portfolio at risk? Are clients paying for the service they received?

      4. Livelihood Issues: Do the intended clients actually live in the houses?

      These are questions to which it is sometimes difficult to get a straight answer, yet they are critical to whether it is a truly a viable and sustainable housing finance intervention and whether it gives the greatest impact for funds invested in low-income housing. If the project is easily scalable, recovers its costs, has good financial performance and serves the people it said it was going to serve, then it certainly would be highly commendable.

      Delete